http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/10/hmmm_could_it_happen.php?ref=fpblg
Josh Marshall breaks down the internals from the Gallup poll:
East - Obama +4
Midwest - Obama +4
South - Obama -22
West - Obama +6
I have no idea what "the South" means. Does it include Texas? And I have a hard time believing that Obama is running that poorly there, given how many African Americans live there.
But that's a compelling argument that Obama's national poll numbers are not predictive. He wins Ohio and Nevada, he's likely re-elected.
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