http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/democrats-political-benefit-delay-obama-immigration-deportations
I can understand the thinking behind waiting on immigration. As stated in the article, control of the Senate can come down to some close races in reddish states where Democrats have to win white votes.
Of course, that depends on whether white voters will vote for Hagan, Landrieu or Pryor anyway.
You can be sure that it's a dubious idea because Bob Shrum thinks it's a good one. Shrum if the living, breathing voice of the '80s-'90s "defensive crouch" Democrat. The embarrassing defeats of Carter, Mondale and Dukakis created in that generation of Democrats a reflexive fear of populist politics. They are always on the defensive, always deferring to GOP narratives.
The reason to advance executive action on immigration is, yes, to mobilize Hispanic votes in places like Colorado (and there are a fair number of Hispanics in North Carolina, too). But it is also designed to force the GOP's hand on impeachment.
If Obama issues an executive action that reduces deportations of non-criminal immigrants, the GOP can almost be counted on going off the deep end and impeaching him.
While the immigration move could mobilize Angry White Dude votes against Democrats, impeachment would nationalize the election around the issue of GOP craziness.
There is also the fact that Obama could limit his immigration actions to a few palatable moves that most people support. Save the bigger actions for after the election, but simply stop deporting children who came here with their parents - the so-called DREAMers.
Shrum's basic idiocy is that he thinks that there is some cautious, careful way to win over whites who are scared of brown people. That will NEVER HAPPEN. Those people left the Democratic party and are not coming back.
Maybe it is the smart move to avoid immigration. But if Shrum says it is, I'm inherently skeptical.
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