Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Lots Of Time, But...

Donald Trump is going to lose.

Those numbers are devastating for the overgrown racist Oompa Loompa.  He trails by over 10 points in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.  He trails by over 5 points in Ohio and Virginia.  Those are extraordinary numbers.

Unlike, say, 1988 when Dukakis had a big lead and blew it, Trump is largely defined in the public mind in ways that Dukakis was not.  Because both candidates are viewed negatively, but Trump is viewed both more negatively and fundamentally unqualified, I don't see how there is going to be the sort of seismic change necessary to tip this election to the Great Orange Satan.

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