I'll outsource the military analysis to Adam Silverman, but it doesn't take a QAnon level of conspiracy thinking to connect the dots here. America - mainly John Bolton - has wanted regime change in Iran since Trump took office. The withdrawal from the nuclear deal was designed to provoke more conflict with Teheran - not prevent nuclear weapons. Now, we've sent a carrier task force to the coast of Iran.
These attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf are - as Malcolm Nance explains in the post above - woefully inadequate as military actions, but perfect for provoking war with Iran. The fact that Saudi Arabia would LOVE for us to expend a few trillion dollars and a tens of thousands of dead Americans to weaken their primary regional rival certainly gives them motive and opportunity.
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