This tidbit from Wisconsin is interesting. Trump is training his fire on a right wing Speaker of the House, Robin Vos, in the Badger State because said Speaker refuses to say that he can somehow overturn the 2020 election. Vos is on board with the Big Lie, but he understands that there is no way to somehow install Trump as president in 2022.
Trump HAS to commit to the Big Lie that he actually won. If he doesn't, then he's just another Loser. This is why he whined about voter fraud in the 2016, an election he won but lost the popular vote by millions. There can be no losses in Trumpistan.
Republicans have largely moved towards Trumpism out of narrow self-interest, with some exceptions like Liz Cheney. Trumpism defines the GOP in 2022, and breaking with Trump entails breaking with the GOP base. Yet, Trump's manic obsession with 2020 is an anchor on the GOP. First, he plumps up ridiculous candidates like Herschel Walker, Mehmet Oz and Kari Lake. That has the very real possibility of costing the GOP winnable seats in swing states.
The combination of January 6th and Dobbs has dramatically reshaped the midterms. But at the heart of all of this is Trump. With any luck - not that we've been lucky recently - the GOP gets hammered in the midterms as Mini-Trumps go down in a wave of defeat. Democrats retain the House and add enough Senators to scrap the filibuster and actually govern. My gut feeling is that by 2024, the economy will be humming along nicely - barring any more shocks like Covid or Ukraine. Then the GOP erupts into civil war between Trump and someone like DeSantis.
We will need about 12-16 continuous years of Democratic governance to erase the damage done to American institutions by Trump. Let's hope the breakdown in the GOP comes sooner rather than later.
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