Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Sunday, April 16, 2023

This Is Just Weird

 Job Chait makes the case that he hopes Ron DeSantis beats Donald Trump in the primary by analyzing three metrics.

First, he thinks DeSantis would be easier to beat than Trump. I think this is arguable, because I think Trump is so incredibly radioactive to independents and moderates that it's likely that Biden gets close to 60% of the popular vote. Seriously. It's a post-January 6th landscape. Also, Biden's biggest vulnerability is his age. Running against Trump negates that liability. Also, Democrats will move heaven and earth to defeat Trump again. They will only move heaven OR earth to defeat DeSantis.

Second, he thinks Trump MIGHT be more dangerous as president. Maybe. I think at this point either Trump or DeSantis could lead to disunion.

His final metric is whether it is better to beat DeSantis or Trump. He argues that if Trump loses it will be another January 6th. You know what? Bring it. Because this time, Biden will be Commander and Chief. Fucking. Bring. It.

His final point might be valid: If you beat Trump, that just goes to show that Trump is toxic - which I think is true at this point. If you beat DeSantis, you prove that Trumpist politics as a whole is toxic. DeSantis is just Dollar General Trump at this point, also, he's not really a very adept politician. We've seen the first "elite" Republican pull away from Puddin Boots, but Ron DeSantis is the Scott Walker of Rudy Giulianis.

Maybe Biden wipes the floor with DeSantis, too, because Dobbs is only going to continue to roil American politics. I'm not terribly concerned with Biden's meh approval numbers, because we are very polarized and most liberal and leftists hate actual liberal and leftist politicians until you have to choose between them and Trump or DeSantis.

But I do worry about the age issue and Trump looks like he's about to die, too, so...I'd rather neutralize that issue.

But! The ideal situation - which I don't see happening right now - is the Trump beats the crap out of DeSantis in the primaries and Biden wins easily in November.

Two birds. One stone.

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