Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Monday, April 6, 2026

Terrorism or Errorism?

 Krugman calls Trump a terrorist, using the definition of the Department of Homeland Security. He notes that terrorism is a tactic, not a goal, and that terrorists are usually those who cannot achieve their goals via conventional conflict. Trump's threats to blow up bridges and power plants - as threats - make him a terrorist.

Richardson's view is a bit more nuanced. She notes that Trump is just careening about and this is likely just more bluster. He has a habit of making these crazed threats and then backing down. The problem is that Iran has likely clued into this pattern and will not budge. She does, however, note that early in Trump 1.0, he wanted to launch a preemptive nuclear strike on North Korea and was talked out of it by his generals. He also famously wanted to nuke a hurricane at one point. Perhaps...perhaps...he got the message that nuclear weapons are not toys or magic wands, but does anyone think there are the same sort of professional soldiers in the highest ranks of the military to tell him, no?

I don't think Trump will use nuclear weapons in Iran, but I do think it represents an escalation in rhetoric intended to scare Iran to negotiate. I also worry that while Trump does have a tendency to TACO his threats - he bullies and blusters but then backs down - he's clearly deranged in his thinking these days and has fewer constraints from those around him.

The solution to this war will not come from Washington or Tehran or Riyadh. Some other power will need to host talks to get both sides - led by crazed zealots - to climb down. China would seem to be a interesting choice. Xi has seen his primary global rival repeatedly light itself on fire by electing this dumb fucker twice. He has watched Trump blow up 75 years of American global leadership. If he could negotiate an end to this war, it would be more than the US self-immolating, it would be a positive act of Chinese global leadership.

China - unlike, say Russia - requires the global stability that the US used to provide. Their trade depends on open sea lanes and stable contract laws. While I'm sure they are enjoying America's decline under Trump, if they want to avoid being caught in the vortex of that collapse they will need to step up.

It would be hilarious if Xi - a murderous autocrat - were to win Trump's coveted Nobel Peace Prize by finding an ending to Trump's stupid-assed war. 

No comments: