Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, November 5, 2014


I get Arkansas, Kentucky, Georgia, South Dakota, West Virginia and Montana.  Those are tough states for Democrats to win in.

But how does Udall lose in Colorado?  With a mail-in ballot?

How does Rick Scott get re-elected?

How does Sam Brownback run Kansas into the ground and get a second term?

How do the Democrats lose Maryland?

There were certain circumstances - scandal in Illinois, a third party spoiler in Maine - that can explain some of the results.  And certainly midterms present problems for the Democrats generally.

But Joni Ernst is a nut job and the Iowans who elected her said she's "about right" on the issues.  I think Braley tried to point that out, but political ads are ignored, so how do you get that message out?  Ernst and Gardner both support personhood amendments.  Put those amendments on the ballot and they lose.  But the candidates win?

I still think a Democrat wins in 2016.  And they likely take back the Senate.  My guess is that the Congress devolves into even more dysfunction as the Lunatic Caucus impeaches Obama over Benghazi or Lois Lerner or his executive order on immigration reform.  I could see a debt default over Obamacare repeal.  They are that crazy.

But we will see if anyone pays attention.

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