Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Friday, May 6, 2016

The Coming Conservative Crack-Up

There are signs and portents, people.  Signs and portents.

Martin Longman predicts that this will be a landslide election, and as I said the other day, he's more right than most political analysts I can think of.

The way I see it is where the Hillary wins quite comfortably in a two person race or runs up the score in a three-way race.  I can't help but feel there are some Republicans who simply can't stomach a Trump candidacy and will cast about for ANYONE to allow them another choice.  Maybe it's Gary Johnson, but who knows.  Ballot slots are closing.

The question is which result is better for Democrats, and I think having a third party run by some milquetoast candidate like Tim Pawlenty of Pete Wilson would absolutely assure Clinton winning the White House.

But a narrower two-person race assures Democrats of the Senate and perhaps sizable pickups in the House.

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