The only way Trump gets re-elected, I believe, is if the Democratic party somehow splinters. The main wedge that could splinter Democrats is Bernie Sanders, as Jon Chait lays out. Sanders - in one way like Trump - has little loyalty to the party whose nomination he is trying to secure. Sanders' supporters are even less committed to the Democratic party as a mechanism for winning an election. In fact, to exaggerate only slightly, socialists don't really care about winning elections. A President Harris or Warren would delay the glorious revolution that will destroy the existing system and especially that guy Biff in high school who bullied me and then got rich selling cars for no reason, fucking Biff.
With such a large field, anything can happen - see Trump's victory in the Republican 2016 primary. There is certainly a plausible replay of 2016 whereby Superdelegates hold the balance of power in the convention. Sanders has not shown the political maturity to accept that, and his followers certainly haven't.
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