Martin Longman thinks that Trump's dam might be breaking. There are signs that his support among evangelicals - while still ludicrously high - is beginning to slip. The overall polling numbers are pretty grim for him.
The biggest thing is that low information voters are not the Extremely Online. For anyone who follows politics closely, Trump was a conman and a crook before he rode down that elevator in 2015. But for people who watch The Apprentice more than the news, Trump was a successful businessman. Getting angry at the people who thought that isn't especially useful. The biggest issue for Trump is that he is incapable of growing his base, while meanwhile alienating suburban women. The one pillar of his support that has been unwavering is evangelicals and whites without college degrees. If he dips anywhere close to 50-50 support from those groups, he will lose Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Impeachment is working.
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