Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Harris Out

I had high hopes for Harris as a candidate, and perhaps she's positioning herself to be the running mate of a Biden or Buttigieg by dropping out before the race gets TOO heated. 

There were whispers of this over the weekend and the "Harris Stans" on Twitter were furious that someone could question their candidate's viability.  Turns out - as is so often the case - that the reporting was correct. Harris has some formidable gifts as a politician, but she was unable to find "her lane" and couldn't raise enough money to stay viable.

Tough to say who benefits from this.  Harris had measurable support, unlike the other people who have dropped out.  She had 5% nationally in the latest Politico/Morning Consult poll but was only at 2-3% in the most recent Iowa polls. Still, in a race this close, redistributing those votes matters.  There is a case to be made that this will help Warren or maybe even Klobuchar as the other major female candidates.  Perhaps Cory Booker benefits as the other African American "moderate."  And of course, Joe Biden has been running strongly with black voters from Day One.  I don't see this helping Buttigieg or Sanders appreciably.

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