The first take is kind of comical. Trump is apparently enraged that polls show him losing by double digits to Biden. There is a lot of noise in polls, so the best thing to do is take an average of polls. The current average at RCP has Biden leading by an average of 8.1%. CNN has a poll showing Biden up 14, whereas IBD/TIPP has Biden up 3. Neither are likely right, which is why you use an average. At 538, they have a few more polls in their sample, including state polling and it looks grim for Trump indeed. (Those arguing that no one should believe the polls because of 2016 have no idea what they are talking about. Trump could still win, I guess, but the polls were not wrong in 2016.)
Trump has responded by lashing out at the polls themselves, like some medieval potentate killing the messenger. This is...hilarious. Trump has managed to stay a step ahead of the political reaper by manufacturing another controversy to distract the media and his critics, but he is now facing legitimate crises and his numbers are tanking and he has no one to blame but himself. Oh, and the economy isn't bouncing back no matter how hard he wants it to.
The second polling story is tragically sad. Georgia has basically committed itself to disenfranchising its African American citizens in the middle of the biggest outpouring of civil rights activism since at least the 1960s. This is not a coincidence and not just something that happened. At this point, the GOP knows full well that they are headed for a reckoning in Georgia and other states like North Carolina and Texas. Toss up states like Florida and Arizona are trending away from Trump and Michigan and Pennsylvania are essentially lost to him.
The GOP's only hope at this point is to lean heavily into making it very hard for African Americans to vote. That's it. That's their strategy for November. In support of the guy who asked for and received Russia's help to undermine our democracy in 2016, they are going to double down in 2020.
It's nice to see Mitt Romney develop a political backbone recently, but it's very hard to say that there are any good Republicans left.
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