Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Tuesday, March 9, 2021

2022

 Jennifer Rubin takes a look at what Democrats should be looking for in 2022 Senate races. With razor thin margins in the Senate, it will be a massive battleground, although it is worth noting margins in the House are similarly thin. She identifies a few races like Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wisconsin and North Carolina as potential pickups. She also notes that Democrats were pretty sanguine about their Senate races in many of these same states, especially North Carolina, Iowa and Maine, last cycle.

I really think 2022 will tell us a lot about the next decade of American politics. Trump had a unique hold on a certain segment of the population. Maybe he fades away into his grift or a jail cell, but he will definitely NOT be on the ballot in '22. A lot of his voters are low propensity voters who obviously don't answer pollster's phone calls. Do they not show up with him in exile? And do the Democrats new suburban voters stick with the party? They historically vote.

Having control of the Congress in '23 will allow for Biden to continue to govern properly and set the stage for a win in '24. Rubin is right that North Carolina needs its Stacey Abrams, but so does Iowa and Wisconsin. Winning Ohio or Florida would be satisfying. Winning Missouri or Kansas would be a miracle. But to do so starts now.

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