Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Tuesday, October 3, 2023

When Your Enemy Is Drowning, Stick a Hose In Their Mouth

 There is an unspoken rule in political coverage in most media outlets: Republicans will come into power and fuck things up and then Democrats will have to clean up their mess. This is true of budget deficits or foreign wars or just basic governance. 

Right now, it looks like Matt Gaetz will find enough votes to possibly, maybe force Kevin McCarthy out of the Speaker's chair. If so, the real drama begins, as there is no real candidate to replace him. As we saw in January, McCarthy doesn't have the support of his entire caucus. It seems almost inevitable that Democratic votes will be necessary to create a new Speaker. This has led many media outlets to suggest that Democrats provide the votes necessary to preserve McCarthy's speakership. 

As Josh Marshall and others have noted, there is no reason for Democrats to believe any deals that McCarthy makes with them absent the lever of the Motion to Vacate. Let the Republicans deal with their own mess.

What's more, the election next year will be fought over the votes of Independents, which I think include a lot more former Republicans than pollsters know about. A constant series of chaotic events in Congress will help deliver the House to Democrats and could help preserve the Senate majority.

Let them burn.

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