Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Saturday, September 21, 2024

How Many Damned Dominos Are There?

 The end of the week saw sex scandals surrounding Mark Robinson, RFK Jr, Christopher Rufo and possibly Matt Gaetz. The GOP Senate candidate in Wisconsin may have been a money launderer for a Mexican drug cartel. Over 100 Republican national security officials have endorsed Harris, as have a number of former elected Republicans like the Cheneys. As some wag said, because of climate change, the October surprises are blooming in September. One has to wonder what sort of oppo research the Harris campaign is sitting on for October, if this is what's coming out in September.

There simply aren't any good reasons for anyone who isn't a part of Cult 45 to vote for this guy. His statements on policy are increasingly deranged. Yet, you can see the so-called Never Never Trump right contorting themselves into knots rather than confront the fact that the Republican Party has become infested with people like Mark Robinson precisely because it has becomes a cult of personality around Donald Trump.

The only way forward for the GOP is to see the MAGA movement crushed brutally in this election. Lose all the 2020 states, plus maybe Florida, Iowa and even Texas. Lose the House. Fail to retake the Senate, despite a very favorable map. Then and only then can they reconstitute themselves as a Center-Right party. Hell, even JD Vance saw it that way after 2012, but now he's a full-on MAGAt. 

It very much feels like the Trump campaign is in something of a death spiral, using the normal metrics and dynamics of a presidential campaign. It also seems likely that the Democrats are going to have some sort of scandal ready to drop every 4-5 days from now until election day. 

When does the dam break?


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