Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Lots of Razor Close Races

 All eyes are understandably on Mississippi and Alaska's Senate races. In Alaska, Mary Peltola is leading by about 650 votes and seems unlikely to get to 50% in this round. In Mississippi, Scott Colom has about a 150 vote lead. Those races are uncalled and unlikely to be called soon. 

However, in the House, there are a crazy number of very, very close races. I'm working off the Times website, but here are a few as of 7:00pm.

In Arizona 1, Republican Eli Crane has 900 vote lead.
In Florida 7, Repub. Ryan Elijah has a 1500 vote lead.
In Florida 9, Dem, Darren Soto has a similar 1500 vote lead.
In Florida 26, Repub. Mario Diaz-Balart has a 1600 vote lead.
In Florida 27, Repub. Maria Salazar has a 1000 vote lead.
In Minnesota 1, Dem. Jake Johnson has an 800 vote lead.
In North Carolina 3, Repub. Greg Murphy has a 230 vote lead.
In North Carolina 5, Dem. Chuck Hubbard has a 100 vote lead.
In Tennessee 4, Dem. Victoria Broderick has a 180 vote lead.
In Tennessee 9, Rep. Brent Taylor has a 1500 vote lead.

There are a host of other uncalled races with margins of around 2000 to 3000 votes standing between candidates. Maine 2 is about 2000 votes, for instance, in favor of Republican Paul LePage, whereas Colorado's Lauren Boebert is trailing by about 2500 votes to her Democratic challenger.

In other words, there is still a lot left to determine, but luckily Democrats have already sewed up 250 seats. I have no doubt that Virginia Foxx in NC 5 is going to cry voter fraud, but it's not like she's going to be eager to launch an insurrection to go sit in the House minority for two years.

If you look at those states, Florida, North Carolina and Tennessee were all states that Republicans gerrymandered to gain seats and now they are seeing what a dummymander looks like. 


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