The protest vote in Michigan came in right about where it needed to be to herald...something. What was interesting is that Dearborn is in Wayne County, and that was where the protest vote was most significant at 17%. However, the lowest number was in Montmorency County with 8% and most counties were above 10%. That 10% could be a baseline for discontent or worries about Biden's age or approval numbers. In which case, the protest vote from Dearborn (which is where many Muslim Americans live) is about 7% off the baseline. Still a 13% uncommitted vote is only somewhat more than the 11% in 2012, the last time we had a Democratic incumbent.
Biden probably should change course on blanket support for Netanyahu's pogrom in Gaza. In Afghanistan, he did the absolutely necessary thing and paid a price for it; a price that is largely ridiculous given how important it was to divorce ourselves from the failure of that policy. Supporting a Likud government that refuses to embrace a two state solution is unlikely to cost him support from many Jews as most American Jews support a two state solution. It's unclear whether that will win him back any of the performative leftists who think he's personally committing genocide. But it is the right thing to do, and that seems to matter to Biden.
Oh, and Trump did manage to get over 60% in Michigan, so that sucks. I know Haley's strategy is to be there waiting when he goes to prison or has a massive stroke, but I'd like to see her make a stronger case.
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