The seemingly inevitable attacks on Iran began a few hours ago. The two ideas need to be held together in everyone's mind. The first is that the Iranian regime is incredibly malevolent. The second is that air strikes are not going to topple the regime.
Is there a realistic endgame for these strikes? Almost certainly not.
Are we at war with Iran? Not technically, because Congress has been excluded from this decision. Only Congress can declare war.
Why are we doing this? This feels like the Trump Administration's incessant efforts to "create content" and "project strength" rather than any overarching strategic goal.
Would it improve the world if the Iran had a new government? Absolutely. There is no evidence that this will topple the regime. Air power can't do that.
Can't a global military power enforce it's will militarily on a weaker power? History suggests not.
Are the adults in charge? Absolutely not. Epic Fury? We are governed by middle schoolers.
Is this a distraction from the Epstein Files? Maybe, but more likely it's a distraction from the various setbacks that Trump has been dealt recently. Military action is usually a way to restore presidential authority. This seems unlikely to do that.
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