Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Saturday, February 27, 2016

Ouch

Hillary just put a beating on Bernie in South Cackalackey.  By winning almost 75% of the vote, she wins a comparable margin of delegates.  Given that she's already well ahead in the delegate count, this is a trend that can reduce Bernie's avenues to victory in a hurry.

In four days, we have Super Tuesday.  A lot of those states look a lot like South Cackalackey demographically.  Georgia, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia.  If Clinton racks up similar margins in those states and wins states like Oklahoma, Minnesota and Colorado (and keeps it close in Massachusetts), then there isn't a plausible reason for Sanders to continue.  He probably should and will, because his candidacy was always about a set of issues rather than personal ambition.  And he's been a salutary force in the primary.

But his path to the nomination is closing very rapidly, and if South Cackalackey is any indicator, it could be over before your St. Patrick's Day hangover is gone.

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