Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

The Democratic Race

Clinton sits with an even 1000 delegates of the 2,382 she needs to win the nomination.  Sanders - because of his dearth of super-delegates and the drubbing he took last night - sits at 371.  Sanders, however, should have a good weekend, as he outperforms in caucuses and the lily white Great Plains.  Saturday should give Clinton the Louisiana primary, while Sanders should win the Kansas, Nebraska and Maine caucuses.

Sanders problem is that any momentum he gets from those caucuses will be blunted by the treasure trove of delegates awarded next Tuesday when Michigan and Mississippi should go big for Clinton.  That will lead in the Ides of March primaries, where Clinton could sweep Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and even Ohio.  At that point, the delegate math becomes overwhelming.

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