Profoundly Stupid, Dishonest And Dangerous

Bibi Netanyahu has released...something...about Iran.  Basically, Mossad swiped a bunch of Iranian nuclear documents from a decade or more ago that proves that Iran was lying about building a nuclear weapon back around 2005.  Which...we knew.  We knew Iran was lying about building a nuclear weapon, and that is exactly why we crafted the JCPOA.  To stop them.  Which it has.

The problem is that Cleek's Law slammed down immediately on the deal. Every single objective arms control expert I've ever heard interviewed about this deal says it is surprisingly robust.  Even the Trump Hawks can't plausibly point to a violation of the agreement, beyond the fact that  somethingsomething Obama Iran something.  The rationale for abandoning the agreement is that "we don't like Iran."

I was "arguing" with a Likudnik on Facebook yesterday, and his position was that Iran is a Bad Actor who means Israel harm.  OK, that's undoubtably true.  And that's irrelevant to whether the JCPOA is working or not.  Iran's meddling in Syria, its missile program...that's a separate issue.  The JCPOA was about nuclear weapons, and I haven't heard a single shred of evidence that it is not working.

Netanyahu released this steaming hot nothingburger yesterday, because he wants Trump to withdraw from JCPOA, because Netanyahu wants to strike at Iran.  As long as JCPOA is in place, that's hard.  The Israeli military doesn't want to do this, but Netanyahu is under investigation for corruption and changing the subject has to feel pretty good right now.

Invading Iran would be a catastrophe of the first order.  We would have zero support beyond Israel and Saudi Arabia.  Europe would abandon us; not even Britain is interested in the shitshow that would follow.  Iranians have a poor opinion of their government right now, but a US invasion would legitimize a crumbling, corrupt regime. 

There is a sentiment that Trump is making Dubya Bush look good by comparison.  Maybe.  Dubya was a complete disaster.  However, if Trump leads us back into some half-assed military adventure in the Middle East again...Yeah, that would seal the deal.