Kavanaugh

In any normal political time, Kavanaugh would have withdrawn his nomination by now.  While it is doubtful that Kavanaugh perjured himself, that has to come with the caveat "so far."  Kamala Harris, in particular, seemed to be honing in a specific case.  Of course, the vast bulk of Kavanaugh's documents have been withheld, so we don't know if somewhere else there is some smoking gun document that proves he willfully lied.  Did he lie more than Clarence Thomas lied?  Who knows?

But Kavanaugh is also an extrememly unpopular  nominee; he has not been forthcoming; his known paper trail is disturbing as hell...but in the end, he will be forced through the Senate.  It is possible that Heidi Heitkamp votes for him out of an attempt to save her seat.  Joe Manchin could, just because he's Joe Manchin.  Hopefully, Doug Jones, Joe Donnelly and Claire McCaskill show some spine. 

Ideally, from a political point of view, you could keep the Democratic caucus united and maybe Lisa Murkowski jumps over, forcing a tie-breaking vote from Mike Pence.  I doubt Susan Collins, Tim Scott or anyone else grows a backbone.  I doubt Ben Sasse or Bob Corker do jack-shit to leverage this moment to get accountability from the Trump White House.

There are other Conservative Republican judges that could be nominated, but Trump picked an especially troubling one.  Republicans could win this battle in September, but lose the war in November.