It is in Democrat's nature to worry. Florida 2000. Tea Party 2010. Trump 2016. The contrary data points (2006, 2008, 2012) don't register nearly as strongly.
In particular, you're getting a lot of "I don't trust the polls, because of 2016" handwringing. This neglects to note that most polls captured the collapse in support for Clinton that came with the Comey Letter.
We are now just four days from determining the future of this country. It's an extraordinary moment. What is notable is how Republicans are approaching it. Basically, they are doing triage and essentially conceding the House. There is talk that GOP stalwarts like Steve King and Don Young could be on the chopping block. Early voting numbers are incredibly illusory and misleading, but when they look huge, you have to notice. Here is the increase in youth turnout:
Arizona +217%
Florida +131%
Georgia +415%
Nevada +364%
Tennessee +767%
Texas +448%
(Thank you, Taylor Swift.)
If those trends in youth voting are real, then the Senate is in play. Florida and Missouri will hold, you lose North Dakota, you gain Tennessee, Texas, Arizona and Nevada. That isn't a guarantee or even a prediction, but it is certainly a possibility.
Winning the House is critical, because it finally gives a political branch subpeona power to expose Trumpian corruption.
Winning the Senate means no more Brett Kavanaughs, no more court packing.
For God's sake, people. Vote.
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