Last night's chaotic events are still coming in to focus. Initially, it looks like the following is true: Iran launched missiles from Iran into US bases in Iraq, without killing US troops. Meanwhile, it what might be an ungodly coincidence, a Ukrainian airline fell out of the sky near Tehran. Of course it had to be Ukrainian.
Operating on the assumption that the US was not responsible for the downed Ukrainian airliner and that there are no US deaths, then we are likely looking at Iran trying to nudge the US out of Iraq. That's been their strategic goal for years now. If these attacks are designed to push Trump out - starting from the perspective that Trump really doesn't want another Mideast war - then not killing Americans would've been the goal. I don't know how accurate Iranian missiles are, but this recalls when the US launched a bunch of cruise missiles at Syria to no real effect. The strike was significant, not the damage. Iran may also have wanted to change the topic after 50+ people were crushed to death at Soleimani's funeral.
If that was their intent, I wouldn't expect that they are done. Iran is patient, and they will hit us again when it our guard is down, in ways that will be harder to trace. For now this is still not World War III.
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