Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Monday, December 21, 2020

We Are Terrible At Understanding Risk

 Do your remember the Ebola panic of 2014? It dominated all news, but especially Fox as a way to cudgel the Obama Administration, because of the scary African virus (get it?). We freaked out over a disease that is very hard to get in a modern, medically advanced society. When Ebola crossed into Nigeria, Nigeria - a country not known for it's well functioning government - stopped it dead in its tracks.

What Ebola has going for it, is it's terrifying. It's a horror show of blood and pain. 

Covid kills a largely invisible population: the poor and the elderly. The Post has a nice rundown of the various ways we simply ignore Covid deaths and why. We are having more deaths every day than on 9/11. Yet I guarantee you the very people who have "Never Forget" bumper stickers on their pick-up trucks are the ones who are ignoring public health measures. Planes flying into towers captures the imagination. (The Onion ran a post-9/11 piece about how this all felt like a bad Jerry Bruckheimer movie.) The lonely people dying in hospitals and nursing homes are invisible to us.

We have never been good at assessing risks. This is a human, not an American, condition. Covid seems engineered to exploit all of the flaws in our perception.

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