Are We On The Verge of War with Iran?

 It's not entirely implausible, but I would have to think that the following three things are true:

- Biden does not want the US to go to war in the Middle East. The show of force feels very much to me like a warning, not a preparation. The last thing he wants are dead servicemen on Al Jazeera and the GOP baying for blood.

- I can't see the upside to war for Iran either. Their economy is in the shitter; the regime's legitimacy among young people is quite low; they are more than content to launch attacks via proxies as long as it doesn't come back and bite them in the ass.

- The idea that Russia prompted the Hamas attack is plausible but a bit too spy-melodrama for me. What's more a US-Iranian war would deprive them of their best source of military drones.

Wars have happened because one or more parties makes catastrophic mistakes. Look at Putin in Ukraine. I don't think any of the principles have any interest in a war, however.

Thank Dog, Trump isn't president.