Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Sunday, October 9, 2016

Click Click Boom

Of course, Trump is going to lose.  Trump was almost certainly going to lose before he showed his ass.  Trump was likely to lose as soon as he won the nomination.

Keep a few things in mind.

First, this isn't over.  Trump has more skeletons to come dancing out of his closet.  The thing is: those skeletons were always there.  The fact that Jeb! Bush's own cousin knew about this tape and never thought to disclose it to his cousin begs the question: Where was Bush and Cruz and Rubio's opposition research?  How in the world could they not expose this fraud and human sewer before he won the nomination?

Of course, this leads to the second point: Trump isn't the real problem.  Republicans actually do love this guy, and they hate their elected officials.  This is the Frankenstein monster model of Trump.  The GOP has, ever since Nixon, played footsie with the vilest, most (ahem) deplorable elements in American politics.  They've gorged them on a diet of Fox News with a side dish of Drudge with Glenn Beck dessert with Alex Jones crushed nuts on top.  You literally cannot provide evidence that will convince a hard core Republican that his candidate is incapable of assuming the duties of the presidency.

If the Establishment GOP tries to remove Trump, there will be hell to pay.  If they isolate and try and distance themselves from Trump, there will be hell to pay.  As one GOP mandarin said when Trump won the nomination: "This proves every bad thing Democrats have said about Republicans."  Well.  Yeah.  It does.  All those vile racist things?  The war on women you denied was happening?  The veneration of power over principle?  Yeah, that was all true.

The GOP professionals are not stupid.  They can read polls - and the private polls have Trump losing by more - and they know that getting in bed with the Trumpenproletariat means that they will likely lose a lot more presidential elections.

They also know that if they dump Trump, they could lose the House.  But that could happen if they embrace him.  They need the Deplorables to come vote.  If they depress the Trump vote, Nancy Pelosi will be Speaker.

It looks like their best bet is to hunker down, weather 2016 and hope they can repeat their 2010 magic.

In the end, they will need to decide what their party will be.  Because the crack-up is coming.

The crack-up is already here.

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