Expect More Of This

Labor Day is right around the corner, which means the campaign "really" begins. Of course, in a polarized, crisis-filled atmosphere, the campaign has never stopped or lulled. The broad contours seem to be falling into place. As the Democratic "Convention" begins its virtual pep rally, one thing Biden is doing is making a conscious efforts to convert Republicans to Biden voters. The Never Trump GOP will continue to drip things like this, a former Republican DHS official soberly testifying that Trump is a menace to national security. Republicans who had passed on from their active political careers are also lining up to endorse Biden. 

For a certain segment of Leftist Twitter, this represents a betrayal, because - I guess - when someone votes for you, you have to do everything they say. Biden - as a mature, full grown politician - understands something that Rose Twitter does not: you have to win more votes than your opponent. This simple fact has eluded the Nina Turner's of the world, as they have plunged headlong off a cliff of their own alienating style. Since we can expect widespread voter suppression efforts from the GOP in October and November, beyond what they are doing with the post office, it's imperative to run up big margins in the suburbs. 

Meanwhile, we can expect Trump to double down in the racism and sexism. It's all he really knows at this point. 

There was a CNN poll that freaked everyone out that had Biden up 4 points (and Trump somehow winning 36% of the support of people of color...yeah, no). Meanwhile, ABC/WaPo, CBS/YouGov and NBC/WSJ all have Biden up 9-10 points. That feels much closer to where we are. Most of those polls have Biden from 50-54% and Trump at 41-44%. The 7-9% undecided (how is that possible but OK) are exactly the sort of people who can be reached by former GOP pols and officials coming out for Biden. Assuming many of those won't vote, if Biden can peel away half of them, he can win GA, TX and KS, much less FL and AZ.