Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Sunday, December 12, 2021

Vaccines Save Lives, Part 3,975,291

 If you were a kid, Covid was unlikely to kill you, however, being vaccinated does dramatically reduce that small chance of death in those ages 18-29. The same roughly holds true for those 30-49, though again, few in that age group will die in the first place.

In the middle aged group, 50-64, we can see Covid spike to around 23 deaths per 100,000 people who are unvaccinated, whereas the vaccinated in that group spiked at .95 per 100,000. That's remarkable efficacy. That number gets even better when we move to 65-79 year olds. During the summer Delta peak, over 75 people/100,000 who were unvaccinated were dying, whereas that number plummets to 3.4/100,000 among the vaccinated. That's 25 times more likely to die if you don't get vaccinated.

Omicron is still somewhat of a mystery in terms of its lethality, as the lag between infection, hospitalization and death can take weeks. The early returns are pretty good. A virus does not want to kill or gravely sicken its host. It can't replicate from a dead host. If Omicron represents a more contagious, less lethal version of SARs-Covid-19, it could be the moment where Covid moves from a global pandemic to an endemic coronavirus that just gets you sick.

Especially if you've been fucking vaccinated.

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