Jon Chait wonders - along with Karl Rove and the rest of us - exactly who Robert Kennedy Jr's campaign is going to hurt. As Chait notes, the Kennedy name casually brings in low information Democrats, which is why Steve Bannon and Roger Stone were plumping his candidacy. But, as Rove has noted, Kennedy's crazy ideas tend to overlap more with certain Republican demographics.
Yesterday, I was driving through a very unusual part of Connecticut - Terryville, Plymouth and Bristol. These are the remaining enclaves of White Working Class or Whites Without College in the area (our town is another). I saw at least three RFK signs in the 12 miles I drove.
If we do get into a situation where Trump is convicted in NYC, and Biden is able to consolidate his base a bit more, then the exodus of a certain sort of WWC voter who can't stomach January 6th or Trump's closeness with Russia, then Candidate Brainworm could siphon off enough votes to tilt a few important states, especially in the Blue Wall. I do think that the close polls in PA/MI/WI are understating Biden's strength there, and that he winds up winning there - especially with a Trump conviction. If Krazy Kennedy helps tilt the field a bit more, that would be great, too.
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