The job market is softening, even as inflation remains relatively hot. Meanwhile we are starting to see Trump endorsed candidates lose Republican primaries. The two that stick out are a candidate in Michigan who had suspended his campaign and still won. The other is that truly awful Rep Andy Ogles went down last night in Tennessee.
There are a few things that will create a Blue Tsunami in November:
- Low approval ratings for the president. Check.
- Economic unhappiness. Check.
- Enthusiasm on the part of the "out" party. Check.
- Dispirited members of the president's party. Check.
Gerrymandering will cut into this a bit, but a sufficient wave will actually swamp the gerrymanders.
We aren't there yet, and I'm prone to hitting the Hopium Pipe. but we should win the House and I think we can win the Senate, too.
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