David Ignatius is one of the clearer eyed national security correspondents. His piece is fair, though the "catastrophe" in media narratives of people clinging to planes seems to be diminishing. The Taliban could outwait us over 20 years, they can outwait a week or two of refugees leaving the country.
It would be sadly funny if the Taliban 2.0 was basically a poor version of Saudi rule - conservative, theocratic Sunnism, pretty repressive but not the horror show of Taliban 1.0. Funny/sad if the great bogeyman of Central Asia turned out to behave like our alleged allies in the Kingdom of Saud.
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