Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Saturday, January 22, 2022

Cognitive Dissonance On Covid

 We've reached a weird point in the pandemic. On the one hand, cases are incredibly high, but they appear to be following the pattern we saw in South Africa: incredibly fast spike in cases, but a similarly fast decline once it's peak. That's the case in Connecticut. Groups like my school and the NFL have basically started moving to an endemic model of simply testing the symptomatic and possibly tracing close contacts.

Deaths here in Connecticut have been about as bad as any time except March of 2020, when we got hit especially hard by the first wave. But cases have far outstripped anything we've seen. And of course, everything we see suggests that the vaccinated will be OK unless they have significant comorbidities. 

So, the pandemic is definitely not "under control" or flickering around the edges of communities. It's a full blown public health crisis straining the ability of hospitals to treat the sick - Covid or not-Covid. We've simply decided to move on. So you will see some people still masking, but fewer and fewer every day. Some people are finally getting vaccinated, but that has to be a marginal number.

I am hopeful this burns out for good by April, because if it doesn't...

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