"Lucy and the football" is a meme about people falling for the same lie over and over again. It was used a lot to describe some Democrats during Dubya Bush's administration who kept falling for hollow assurances that turned out to be false.
Today, it is the media that play the role of Charlie Brown, endlessly kicking at the ball that Trump pulls away at the last minute. They never seem to learn that Trump is simply the least credible source in the Executive Branch. He calls up some reporter (or they call him and he answers) and says something that isn't true, like we have a deal to open the Straits of Hormuz, they report it, markets move in response, people on Polymarket make a killing and then it turns out, no, the Straits are not open.
This is so bizarre, because the whole gestalt of the media is to be cynical and hard edged in pursuit of the truth. Yet, again and again they parrot these statement that are so obviously going to turn out to be false, simply from the experience of a year, or a month, or a week, or a day, or an hour before.
There is simply no reason to believe anything Donald Trump says about the war in Iran. It's unclear whether he's delusional, wishcasting or manipulating markets for a quick buck - of all of the above.
It is professional malpractice at this point to transcribe his statements on anything, but especially the war, without independent confirmation.
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