Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, March 11, 2020

It's Going To Get Worse, But It's Not The Apocaplypse

The last pandemic was actually in 2009, with the Swine Flu pandemic.  This has seemed to be worse, for reasons I'm not entirely sure of.  It's unclear exactly what the mortality rate is, for one thing. There is also the fact that the spread is remarkably quick.  We can expect a massive increase in diagnoses with or without testing. That's been the pattern so far around the world and it will replicate here.

On the one hand, anywhere from 300 to 650 thousand people die every year of the flu.  If some of the epidemiological predictions are accurate, we could see numbers like that in the US alone. About 400,000 American died of all causes during World War II.   Compress those numbers into six months.

It doesn't help that the leadership of this country is completely unequal to the task before it.

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