There's been an interesting trend of Republicans turning on each other in the lead up to the election. First, you had Lou Dobbs go after Lindsey Graham. Yesterday, you had Donald Trump humiliate Martha McSally at a rally. As Josh Marshall notes, with Trump it comes down to his obsession with "dominance." He sees everything in stark terms of "winning" and "losing" defining both terms in rather childish ways. When you're a "loser" - and McSally is one of three Senate seats the Democrats seem almost certain to win - it's not simply your status after the final whistle or after the votes (all of them) have been counted. Losing is a moral stain in Trumpistan.
In 2016, the late movement in the polls was to Trump and he got just close enough to eek our wins in the Blue Wall. Outside of partisan pollsters like Rasmussen and Trafalgar, the movement I'm seeing is towards Biden. There are some bonkers outliers out there. Citizen's Data has a Texas poll with Biden up 9! The Post had him up 17 in Wisconsin. JL Partners and Global Market Research have him up 14 nationally. (To be fair, those are not well-established pollsters.) But Ipsos has him up 12, as does CNN.
There is a scenario here where Trump loses bigly. I don't think Biden is up 9 in Texas, but what if he's up 2? That counts the same. What if Biden not only holds the Blue Wall, but carries North Carolina, Florida and Georgia. What if he adds Texas and Arizona? What if he regains Iowa and Ohio?
Trump has already started turning on "losers" like McSally. What happens when his narcissistic shell is shattered and he stares being Herbert Hoover (or at least Jimmy Carter) in the face?
Decompressing narcissists can be incredibly self-destructive. I think Biden carries a second Blue Wave in as many elections and Trump loses his shit. Hopefully that won't take the entire country down with us.
No comments:
Post a Comment