Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Saturday, October 24, 2020

Trump Is Not A Fascist

 Donald Trump is not a fascist. He's an oligarch. The Republican Party is increasingly the party of oligarchy.

They have been able to mobilize a certain segment of the population to vote for them based on cultural grievance, but they have been able to win a plurality of the national vote just ONCE since 1988. However, the undemocratic aspects of our Constitution have allowed them extraordinary success despite the unpopularity of their agenda (tax cuts for the rich, suppression of minority rights) with a majority of Americans.

There is the potential for near-record voter turnout this election. It is not entirely clear who that would benefit, but that article strikes me as being overly cautious after being burned in 2016. People are voting in huge numbers in 2020 because they are likely upset. Higher voting by youth voters isn't something we need to overthink. 

It remains most likely that Joe Biden wins handily. District level polling - which was a red flag for Clinton in 2016 - looks much better for Biden. 

Trump isn't a fascist, that's melodrama masquerading as political science. He is an oligarch, which is why he's been so comfortable a fit for the GOP. They don't mind his oligarchy, his criminal corruption, they just mind that he tweets about it.

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