Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Potential Own-Goal In The Making

 Trump and his minions on the Supreme Court are making efforts to restrict the counting of mail-in ballots that arrive after election day. The hitch is that we don't know whose ballots are going to arrive then. All signs point to a large Democratic advantage in early voting. Republicans are now worried about that advantage and are trying to get their voters to vote early. The problem is that those efforts could not run into the obstacles that Republicans put up to stop Democrats from voting. 

If - as the data suggests - a lot of young voters and other traditional Democratic voters have already banked their votes, then those votes will be counted on election day, or at the very least be in the hands of election officials on election day. What the GOP will have to do is challenge every single early ballot, which should be overturned as spurious by election officials. 

There is a scenario where we have a pretty good idea that Biden has won this thing - based on the avalanche of early votes already in the hands of election officials, whereas the GOP is scrambling to get some of their late voters counted. 

There is an assumption among the Manic Progressive Very Online crowd that Republicans are some sort of tactical masterminds who are always one step ahead of Democrats. They really aren't. They exist inside their own information ecosystem and are protected by the some of the anti-democratic legacies in our institutions. 

It would be hilarious to see Kavanaugh and Gorsuch scrambling to reverse themselves on late ballots in order to try and undo a Biden victory. And again, all of these actions by Court increase the chance that Democrats - given the opportunity - will make substantive and substantial changes to the courts themselves.

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