Monmouth polled people as to what the most important issue in the midterms was. The results were that 26% said the economy. That's not good for Democrats, unless we can defeat Putin in the next month or two and gas prices collapse. But the second more important issue was abortion at 25%, and that's before we start getting tangible horror stories from women who have been persecuted or even died from non-clinical abortions.
I agree with Yglesias that Schumer's "message bill" on codifying Roe was bad. You have to write a bill that does the very least acceptable so that it gets more support. First 15 weeks, health and welfare of the mother, rape and incest. Trying to legislate abortion without restrictions is just stupid.
However, there are credible reasons to think abortion could upend a very bad electoral environment for Democrats.
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