Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Thursday, October 6, 2022

Is It On?

 Could be nothing, but one of the most consistent sources for the conduct of the war in Ukraine has been Russian military bloggers or milblogs. They've been the ones accurately commentating on the weakness of Russian troops and the setbacks they are seeing in Ukraine. Obviously, official Russian channels haven't provided this and Ukraine wants some level of operational security to shroud what they are doing.

Anyway, the Russian milblogs are predicting a strike towards Melitopol through Zaporizhzia Oblast. Having mauled Russia on Ukraine's left and right flanks, in Luhansk/Kharkiv and Kherson, attacking the Russian center and the "land bridge" between Russian occupied Donetsk and Crimea would seem to be a question of whether Ukraine had enough men and resources, not strategic efficacy.

Worth keeping an eye on.

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