Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Thursday, February 21, 2013

I'm Leaning Towards "No"

Hey Mexicans!  They baked you a cake!

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2013/02/lets_get_real_about_this.php?ref=fpblg

Conventional wisdom has it that the Republican Racist Caucus will piss and moan a bunch, but eventually we will get immigration reform, because the mandarins of the GOP realize that they HAVE to pass immigration reform in order to remain viable nationally.

I don't think so.

I think there simply is too much ingrained institutionalized hatred of both Latinos and Obama within the ranks of the GOP to allow a bill to pass.

Case in point: Obama puts out his plan which is substantively quite similar to Rubio's.  Rubio declares it DOA, because it has Obama's name on it.  Childish, sure, but illustrative of how reflexive the GOP's hatred of Obama is.  They simply can't allow him to get anything he wants.  It's the attitude of a tantrum prone toddler, but it's also the SOP for the GOP.

Secondly, the House members - and several Senators - who can combine to "kill the bill" don't give a rat's ass about the national prospects of the Republican Party.  Some Teatard standard bearer from a safe district in Idaho or Virginia isn't going to turn around and imperil himself by embracing a common sense measure to allow people in this country to legalize their status.  So what if it sinks any chance Rubio/Paul/Jindal/McDonnell has for winning the White House.

They will be taking their cues from the Ted Cruz's of the world, not the sodden mess that is John Boehner.

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