A Parlor Game For Treason Time

 The WaPo has a... well, it would've been a bombshell before Trump waddled on to the public stage. Basically, the lede is this:

A document describing a foreign government’s military defenses, including its nuclear capabilities, was found by FBI agents who searched former president Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence and private club last month, according to people familiar with the matter, underscoring concerns among U.S. intelligence officials about classified material stashed in the Florida property.

Hey, that's not good.

Josh Marshall thinks it's a "friendly" country, since we would have the most insight into their defenses. If it is, the odds are that it's Israel, and it wouldn't shock me if that intelligence found its way into Saudi hands. The problem with that theory is that Trump and Jared actually did bring some reconciliation between Israel and various Gulf States. Selling Israel out doesn't feel like Trump's MO, simply because he had a pretty good relationship with Israeli leadership.

One especially bonkers theory is that it is intelligence on France, because Trump hated Macron, because Melania smiled at him.

In my mind, the nuclear and defense secrets are almost certainly Russian or Chinese. Understanding their defense capabilities is obviously the first priority of US intelligence. So this would appease Trump's raging narcissism to have the "really good stuff" in his personal possession. This shows how powerful and "in charge" he is, because, "Look Mar A Lago Hanger-on, I have intel on Russia/China." None of his cronies and lickspittles are going to care about France's nuclear posture or defenses.

If he was monetizing the secrets, then Russia makes the most sense, as Russia would be keenly interested in what we know about their defenses. This could go back to whatever leverage Putin has on Trump, as well. If it was just about appearing powerful and plugged in, then China would make sense, since he cast them as the "villain" after Covid struck.

Ultimately, if the documents were there to feed his narcissism, then it would make sense that he would keep our most classified assessments of our two greatest geopolitical rivals.