Keep an eye on the Ukrainian advance in Lyman. They have apparently cut off a sizable Russian force that Putin wouldn't let retreat in good order. Now, the Russians will either have to surrender, be destroyed or retreat under Ukrainian artillery fire. If the Russian unit in Lyman are eliminated, it leaves a gaping hole in an already tattered Russian line and eliminates important front line units and their military equipment.
Putin will announce the annexation of the Ukrainian lands at precisely the moment the war could pivot against him again. Lincoln famously waited for a victory before issuing the Emancipation Proclamation, because he didn't want to make a political statement in a moment of military weakness. Putin seems intent on making that mistake.
A collapse in Lyman could set off another round of rapid Ukrainian advances. Let's hope so. Russia is a terrorist state at this point.
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