Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Sunday, September 2, 2012

What's Axelrod Up To?

Obama campaign guru claims that the GOP convention was a "terrible failure".  While I recognize that spin and bold claims are a staple of campaign flack discourse, why make that statement now?  Do they have poll numbers?  Nate Silver suggests that a typical convention bounce is 5-6 polling points.  For a variety of reasons, we have fewer undecided morons voters this year.  So the bounce is going to be smaller anyway.  He predicts 2-3 points for each candidate.  Romney needed more than that.

Let's see if Obama is winning on Monday or Tuesday.  If so, then Axelrod is probably right.

He's not as smart as a chair, but he's pretty clever.

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