Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Tuesday, October 16, 2012


Josh Marshall breaks down the internals from the Gallup poll:

East - Obama +4
Midwest - Obama +4
South - Obama -22
West - Obama +6

I have no idea what "the South" means.  Does it include Texas?  And I have a hard time believing that Obama is running that poorly there, given how many African Americans live there.

But that's a compelling argument that Obama's national poll numbers are not predictive.  He wins Ohio and Nevada, he's likely re-elected.

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