Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Josh Marshall breaks down the internals from the Gallup poll:
East - Obama +4
Midwest - Obama +4
South - Obama -22
West - Obama +6
I have no idea what "the South" means. Does it include Texas? And I have a hard time believing that Obama is running that poorly there, given how many African Americans live there.
But that's a compelling argument that Obama's national poll numbers are not predictive. He wins Ohio and Nevada, he's likely re-elected.