Blog Credo

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H.L. Mencken

Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Enthusiasm Gap

 Last night, Harris apparently blew the roof off her rally in Georgia. Certainly she's crushing the Online Primary and the Vibe Election. She's playing the role of Happy Warrior to perfection, while the online trolling of MAGA has been incredibly successful. Calling them "weird" has completely unmoored them. They really weren't prepared for an opponent who could campaign with energy and focus.

What's more, I think there is a growing number of women who see this as an opportunity to re-do 2016. It's time for a woman president, and it's pretty clear that the GOP isn't able to find a message that works to attack her without being weird. Frankly, some of this might be a product of Trump driving most of the effective professionals out of the GOP. 

We are hearing comparisons now to Obama in 2008. I remember talking to a Black colleague who was pretty cynical when it came to Obama's chances, and he was stunned when "they let him win." It was hardly surprising to to White folks, because the guy was just a transcendent political talent. I wonder if we will see the same thing as momentum builds for Harris, that maybe we CAN elect a woman. Maybe the problem in 2016 was that  Clinton was the target of a quarter century of negative attacks. Harris also does joy in a way Clinton struggled with. Clinton would've been a phenomenal prime minister, but president proved trickier - even as she won the popular vote.

The past month has been an eventful year. We should expect further momentum swings. However, there's another possibility that Harris catalyzes enthusiasm and people simply reject the idea of returning power to Trump. He was never popular.

Yes, there is 27% of the population that have devoted their lives to that charlatan. However, there's a majority that simply wants to move on from him. Perhaps a large majority. If Harris can build momentum over the next month, maybe we can go into election month/day on fire.

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