Are We At Some Sort Of Tipping Point?

Herman Cain's third grade homework.

Three things happened that bode poorly for Willard Romney.

First, the DNC launched an attack on Romney for his constantly shifting positions on the issues.  This is important because except for some fumbling stabs at this by Perry and Pawlenty, GOP candidates have not really gone after Romney for being "Multiple Choice Mitt".  Part of this is an effort by the DNC to prepare the ground for a run against Mitt, but it's also a way of getting the opponent they prefer.

Second, Herman Cain?  Can you please return your campaign to the help desk?  Your hard drive is apparently corrupted.  Any collapse in Cain support should accrue to Newt's advantage.

Third, Gingrich seems to finally get that he has a chance at this thing.  Rather than just doing book signings, he's actually opening campaign offices and getting a ground game going.  Given how much the Tea Party types have stood on the sidelines, he may be able to overcome his late start if they rally behind him.

Right now, I have the odds at nomination of Romney 50%, Gingrich 45%, the field 5%.

The more Romney no longer looks inevitable, the faster he could sink.