By all accounts, Michigan will be very close. R-Money foolishly guaranteed a win there and even a narrow Santorum victory brought about by Democrats ratf**king the GOP primary will still be a terrible blow heading into Super Tuesday.
Romney is supposed to win Arizona with it's large Mormon population, but I can't help feel that Santorum's complete lack of a credible campaign infrastructure cost him an opportunity there. The social conservatives, including a few GOP leaning Catholic Hispanics that are left there, and the aging culture warriors would seem a natural constituency for Santorum. True, he's probably within six or seven points of Romney there, but I believe Arizona is a winner-take-all primary. So even a close second is irrelevant.
Of course, Santorum is surging in Michigan from a combination of cross-over potential and his recent bat-shit insane statements about Jack Kennedy and Obama has a horrible plan to make college affordable. He could pull a Colorado and surprise people with a win there. If Romney goes 0-2 tonight, I don't see how he recovers. I really don't.
Gallup has released some crazy polls recently. One of them had Ron Paul beating Obama in the general by two points. I can't help but think that the recent sophistication in polling analysis will make polls like this less credible. Apparently Gallup is taking a huge sample of GOP voters at a time when the GOP is sinking in popularity. So far, the most accurate pollster of the primary season has been PPP. They have Romney by two in Michigan but a real late minute surge of the Frothy One.
Anyway, that appears to be the story for the day.